WA CC Enrollment Numbers Surge - details

As with everywhere else in the country, Washington state CC enrollment numbers are surging. Statewide enrollment was up 7.2% in Fall 2008 compared to the previous year, according to detailed statistics revealed by the State Board of Community and Technical Colleges.


The graph shows FTE (full-time equivalent) and Headcount numbers. One FTE is equal to 15 credits taken by one student.

I'm going to crunch some numbers and throw up some observations this week. I'm sure you will all be on the edge of your seat.

WA's Highline to close branch campus

And the budget hits keep on coming.

According to the Tacoma News Tribune, Highline CC will close a branch campus in Federal Way just north of Tacoma.

Now, Washington's 8th largest city has no higher education in within city limits. Oh wait, they've still got DeVry.

Sigh.

NYC CCs big idea - is it really new?

New York City's community college system is getting some attention for a new program. Part of the vast City University or NY (CUNY) system, NY's six community colleges began the Accelerated Studies in Associates Program (ASAP), a program which includes:
- Free tuition, books, and bus passes
- First pick for classes
- Twice-monthly counseling (mandatory)
- Summer orientation program (mandatory)
- Need remedial education? This isn't for you

ASAP has been very successful thus far: retention and GPA's are up, dropouts are down as compared to other students who don't require remedial classes. That's great news, this model surely works.

But is the model new? It doesn't appear so - it looks a lot like CC honors programs across the country. The NYC ASAP program proves that robust academic and financial support plus new student orientation helps student achievement. But we knew all that, didn't we?

Don't get me wrong, I'm a huge supporter of increased support for any select group of community college students. How about we give it a try for all community college students?

South Seattle CC hires ethically-challenged Oertli as interm Prez

Gary Oertli: a face only a gangster could love.

Despite past ethical violations, Gary Oertli was hired as interm president by South Seattle Community College. While president of Shoreline CC (1995-2001), Oertli improperly used his position as SCC president to funnel state funds to a personal friend, Paul Mauel - founder of e-Werks. Seattle P-I (8/25/01) The charges led to a $40,000 fine in 2003.

[Oertli] promot[ed] a local software company because of his personal relationship with its founder. Six months after a $350,000 contract was signed between Shoreline and e-Werkz in December 1999 to provide online services, SCC President Gary Oertli left the college to work for the start-up. SCC was e-Werkz's first customer... In 2000, e-Werkz received $1.4 million from Shoreline, Bellevue and Spokane community colleges in return for 30-year contracts to provide integrated online course registration and bookstore services.

When e-Werkz failed to supply SCC with the product it had promised, e-Werkz founder Paul Mauel asked Oertli to alter the bid. Shoreline CC was forced to spend over $100K to fix the technical problems left in e-Werkz wake.

One year after signing the contract with e-Werkz, Oertli resigned as president of Shoreline CC, and accepted a position with Mauel's online company, e-Werkz, now Softcos, under an $184,000 salary in addition to an $80,000 signing bonus. Seattle P-I, (4/12/03).

My home institution was also sullied by this affair.

In 2003, while president of the University of Washington alumni board, Oertli was fined $40,000 for the his slippery ethics, the largest fine ever leveled on an individual by the WA State Executive Ethics Board.

Now, South Seattle CC has hired Oertli is interm president. Here's hoping that either Oertli cleans up his act, or SSCC finds a permanent president soon.

The second lady is the first CC professor

America's new second lady, Dr. Jill Biden, has long taught English at the Delaware Technical Community College. Just because she's the second lady doesn't mean she's going to be able to pull a bunch of special favors for CCs. But having a CC advocate in the White House can't hurt.

By the way, she's looking for a gig.

DC finally gets a CC

According to reports, Washington DC will open its first community college, fall 2009. The new community college will fall under the rubric of the University of the District of Columbia (UDC). UDC will turn SEU into a "workforce training oriented" CC, and UDC will become a "flagship university" and raise tuition (somebody has to pay for the flag.)

Press accounts are sketchy on the precise details (here, here, and here). But it appears that the public University of the District of Columbia will take over (or merge) with DC's private Southeastern University (SEU).

By all accounts, SEU was failing and flailing; it was forced to discontinued a number of programs this fall.
Rather uniquely, SEU offered associate degrees in addition to bachelors and masters degrees.

Questions remain about UDC's ability to take a private university and turn it into a community college. Neither institution is centrally located within DC - might they both offer community college classes?

Whatever the case, a CC in DC is long overdue. To my knowledge DC is the only state (um, pseudo state) in America without a community college system. Glad to see that change.

Final note: as I predicted (#3), another private university bites the dust. Not to gloat...

Lead us well, President Obama

The American people have chosen, and wisely. The Emissary will be watching closely to make sure Obama honors and supports this great nation's finest institutions: community colleges.

For now, Americans can stand tall after an eight-year slouch. We can again hold our heads high when we go abroad. And once again, we can savor the feeling of being cool.

Lead us well, BHO.

WA stimulus package - $364m for education buildings

In this time of budget crisis, all American politicians have unified around the simple creed: we must build things. We could debate the macroeconomic merit of such a creed, but educational institutions across the nation will definitely benefit from the consensus. As with state education budget cuts, educational building priorities will reveal the relative importance each state places on CC education.

The Emissary believes that investing in community colleges is essential, particularly during the current economic crisis. Philosophers are great, but America most needs 21st-century skills: principally technology, 'green', computer, and health care skills. Those skills are most efficiently gained at community colleges.

WA Gov. Gregoire proposed a deluge of spending (about $1.2 billion) for construction, infrastructure, and unemployment insurance. Higher education received the lion's share of the construction money ($364m or 85%). Virtually all the money went to classroom buildings.

Some breakdown of the governor's proposal.

Community colleges hold their own
WA CCs won 38% of all new construction money, or $140m. That was slightly less than the $142m won by WSU and UW (39%), but way more than the $82m won by regional universities.

Project size and college type
Research universities won just three projects, but the average project tops $47m (compared to $20m and $14m for CC and regional projects, respectively). The largest project was UW's Molecular Engineering building ($69.6m). The smallest research university project was larger than the largest CC project (Spokane CC's $32.3 Tech Ed building)

Winners and losers
The UW system was the largest single recipient of funds, with $104m in projects, followed by the CC district of Spokane ($66.4m). Only 5 of the WA's 34 CCs won any money at all (both Green River and Columbia Basin snagged big projects; Everett won $2m for "infrastructure"). Evergreen State was the only 4-year not to win any projects, though WSU main Pullman campus didn't either (WSU Vancouver did). EWU Cheney won just $6.4m in "Minor Works". The Westside received 37% of the funding, the Eastside won 37%.

Close to home
My colleges - CCs of Spokane - did particularly well, earning 23% of all funds designated for high ed, and 61% of the community colleges pie. CCS has designated vast energies to winning new buildings and has been remarkably successful. Sasquatch nation is pleased.

Unless otherwise mentioned, percentages refer to the percent of construction money designated for higher education.

University of Phoenix in trouble?

Apollo Group (parent company of U of Phoenix) has recently been sued, which may endanger the companies business model.

Apollo's trouble stems from default rates on its Title IX loans. Title IX loans are federally guaranteed. In order to maintain good standing with the feds, colleges must limit student defaults (the so-called Cohort Default Rate), among other requirements.

The plaintiffs were former UofP students and Title IX loan recipients who dropped out of classes after the deadline for getting all their money back. Instead of receiving payment from the Title IX loan, the UofP returned the money to the feds and sent collection agencies after the students for the money they owed (receivables.)

From the article: Why would the UOP surrender cash in hand that is rightfully theirs, in exchange for a hard-to-collect receivable, plus collection costs and risks? Why would UOP intervene in a lender/borrower relationship that they actually helped facilitate?

Lets get this straight – the action UOP chooses here is financially worse for the company, worse for their students, and better for the US Government... Has anyone ever heard of a company voluntarily giving up money in hand for a questionable receivable?

This lawsuit lays out a rationale... UOP is not only trying to deceive their clients, but more importantly, the Department of Education and investors through manipulation of their reported numbers. By removing these early-withdrawing students from their loan rolls, this lawsuit suggests understatement of Cohort Default Rates...

By returning the money to the government, they are effectively prohibiting that person from being factored in their cohort default rate. This manipulation is a clear violation of the mandates of HEA.

Make no mistake, if Apollo loses its access to Title IX grants, it's done. UofP competes directly with CCs, but we shouldn't relish their possible demise. We are in no condition to enroll their 250,000 students.

Predictions for CCs during the economic crisis

Across the country, community colleges are facing a plethora of challenges: budget cuts, tuition increases, ballooning enrollment. Below are three facts an my predictions for their consequences. Next, I gaze into the crystal ball for two medium-term predictions and their consequences.


1. HS graduates flock to CCs. Facing university-price sticker shock and shrunken college savings plans, new HS grads are picking community colleges in record numbers.
Consequences:
- Transfer programs will balloon.
- Average age of transfer students will fall.
- Universities will be unprepared to accept a wave of transfer students which will begin in 2010.


2. Unemployed and underemployed workers swell CC ranks. It's a cliché because it's true; workers seek improved skills during crappy economic times.
Consequences:
- Career and tech programs will fill up and average ages will rise.
- Waiting lists will become common.
- Proportion of CC students with bachelor's degrees will rise as 'educated' students seek more useful skills.


3. Cost becomes increasingly important factor in student choice.
Consequences:
- CC tuition will increase by 5% on average nationwide.
- Pell Grants will increase faster than CC tuition in absolute terms (thank you, Obama).
- Pell Grants will increase slower than university tuition in absolute terms.
- 80+ private universities will close before fall 2009.


Predictions for the medium term (1-4 years)

4. CCs will neglect investment. How can they invest during budget cuts? Why invest when you have all the students you can handle?
Consequences:
- State funding for technology will shrink.
- For-profits will continue to eat CC's lunch in online learning.
- CCs will suffer when the economy rebounds.


5. Foreign countries will seek to reproduce the community college model in their countries.
Consequences:
- International consulting gigs for your scribe.